Musings

Passing thoughts, observations, reflections, and ideas still in progress — including the elusive ‘feelings’ part that efficiency-chasers (a.k.a. engineers) are allegedly bad at.

August 25, 2026 Life > Projects

Martingale: The Mathematics of Being Too Rich To Lose

How to sure-win in a casino: be already rich when you first set foot inside. Did you know that if you double your bet every time you lose, you will eventually win? And I mean net-net win.  Because when that win eventually comes, it doesn’t just cover your latest bet. It pays back every loss that came before it, with a profit left over. The maths checks out. Read on as B explains.   What is Martingale? In a hypothetical situation, B has opened a casino. There is only 1 game here: the humble coin flip — heads or tails. Bet $1 and win? You walk away with $2 —...

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April 30, 2026 Musings > Books, TV & Other Media

Desiderata, for the Gaslighted Generation

Monkey A performs a task. Monkey A gets rewarded with cucumber. Monkey B performs the exact same task. Monkey B gets rewarded with grape instead. Monkey A sees Monkey B's grape reward. Monkey A gets upset. Rinse and repeat. With dogs, birds, chimpanzees and humans. The Grape is now Geopolitical The US is "allowed" to have nuclear weapons, supposedly because it "manufactured and exploded a nuclear weapon or other nuclear...

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